Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.182585 0.211248 0.242909 0.280473 0.323829 0.372307 0.430642
2025-10-05 0.142492 0.182387 0.231014 0.294644 0.375744 0.475719 0.608456
2025-10-12 0.119688 0.164318 0.222559 0.304124 0.415479 0.562343 0.771083
2025-10-19 0.103584 0.150584 0.215430 0.311423 0.450037 0.643203 0.933446
2025-10-26 0.090326 0.137990 0.207003 0.314197 0.476691 0.714198 1.088673
2025-11-02 0.078345 0.125125 0.195851 0.310537 0.492118 0.769098 1.225042
2025-11-09 0.067238 0.111841 0.181991 0.300310 0.495240 0.804406 1.333776
2025-11-16 0.061530 0.106265 0.179242 0.306892 0.525066 0.883794 1.520801
2025-11-23 0.055817 0.099854 0.174188 0.308719 0.546704 0.951424 1.695010
2025-11-30 0.051437 0.095120 0.171272 0.313590 0.573641 1.030151 1.896240
2025-12-07 0.045972 0.087739 0.162812 0.307465 0.580048 1.073213 2.037816
2025-12-14 0.041580 0.081779 0.156174 0.303757 0.590146 1.123402 2.197188
2025-12-21 0.038369 0.077765 0.152829 0.306130 0.612461 1.199446 2.416214
2025-12-28 0.036982 0.077173 0.155951 0.321446 0.661692 1.332082 2.761461
2026-01-04 0.035151 0.075442 0.156598 0.331787 0.701969 1.451158 3.092465
2026-01-11 0.033241 0.073305 0.156152 0.339748 0.738087 1.565379 3.425841
2026-01-18 0.031051 0.070297 0.153544 0.342774 0.763976 1.660915 3.729735
2026-01-25 0.028478 0.066137 0.148015 0.338782 0.774081 1.723818 3.968919
2026-02-01 0.025607 0.060965 0.139708 0.327627 0.766910 1.748239 4.124136
2026-02-08 0.024389 0.059476 0.139454 0.334806 0.802263 1.870655 4.517858
2026-02-15 0.022907 0.057184 0.137108 0.336799 0.825651 1.968092 4.863298
2026-02-22 0.021765 0.055586 0.136204 0.342112 0.857477 2.088223 5.276330
2026-03-01 0.019988 0.052200 0.130661 0.335432 0.859197 2.136811 5.518171